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DTN Midday Grain Comments 01/22 10:52
Soybean, Wheat Futures Higher at Midday Thursday; Corn Flat-Higher
Corn futures are flat to 1 cent higher at midday Thursday; soybean futures
are 1 to 3 cents higher; wheat futures are 6 to 8 cents higher.
David M. Fiala
DTN Contributing Analyst
MARKET SUMMARY:
Corn futures are flat to 1 cent higher at midday Thursday; soybean futures
are 1 to 3 cents higher; wheat futures are 6 to 8 cents higher. The U.S. stock
market is firmer at midday with the S&P 45 points higher. The U.S. Dollar Index
is 40 points lower. The interest rate products are mixed. Energy trade is mixed
with crude off .95 and natural gas is .68 higher. Livestock trade is mostly
higher. Precious metals are mixed with gold 43.00 higher.
CORN:
Corn futures are flat to 1 cent higher at midday with overall rangebound
action continuing and spread action softening. Ethanol margins should remain
stable in the short term even with unleaded softening a bit. Weekly export
sales are expected to be in the 750,000 to 950,000 metric ton range in Friday's
holiday-delayed report. Basis will likely remain flat in the short term.
New-crop price ratios continue to favor corn but continue to narrow this week.
On the March chart, support is the recent low at $4.17 with the 20-day moving
average well above the market at $4.35.
SOYBEANS:
Soybean futures are 1 to 3 cents higher at midday with meal leading the
product side as trade works to consolidate above nearby resistance. Meal is
3.50 to 4.50 higher and oil is narrowly mixed with oil overbought and meal
coming off oversold conditions. South American weather shows little change and
little short-term concern as early harvest is running ahead of pace. Basis will
likely remain flat in the short term. The daily export wire saw 192,350 metric
tons sold to unknown destinations. Weekly export sales are expected to be in
the 1.0 to 1.25 million metric ton range. On the March chart, support is the
20-day moving average at $10.58, which we closed solidly above yesterday, with
support the Upper Bollinger Band at $10.76 the next round up.
WHEAT:
Wheat futures are 6 to 8 cents higher at midday with trade working to firm
back into the middle of the range again with a strong finish and further
follow-through likely needed to sustain buying. Weather for the Plains looks
mostly seasonal to cool in the short term with moisture concentrated on the
eastern growing areas in the coming winter storm. Matif wheat remains flat with
the weaker dollar. Weekly export sales are expected to be in the 200,000 to
350,000 metric ton range. On the KC March chart, support is the 20-day moving
average at $5.24, which is where we are trading just above at midday, with
resistance the Upper Bollinger Band at $5.40.
David Fiala can be reached at dfiala@futuresone.com
Follow him on social platform X @davidfiala
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